Thursday, February 28, 2013

Ronseal Decking Stain Golden Cedar 5l

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FIND US ON - Builders Merchant, Builders Supplies, Home ...
Ronseal Decking Stain 2 .5l £ 19.20 : inc VAT : £16 .00 +VAT each: Country : Oak Mountain : Green Rich Teak: Golden Cedar Rich Mahogany: Rustic Pine: TIMBER MERCHANT TIMBER MERCHANT: 15 YEAR DESIRED : SERVICE LIFE 15 YEAR DESIRED : SERVICE LIFE: WHETHER YOU WANT TO CREATE A ...

Quantile Forecasting Technology Part I










In order to understand quantile forecasting, we need to take a brief look at the general practice of inventory optimization and why we forecast in the first place.

Inventory optimization is the task of finding the level of inventory that balances the cost of excess inventory with the cost of stock outs. In practice, we do this by making two decisions:
• When to order... and....
• How much to order




The first is given by the reorder point, which is the minimum stock on hand that should trigger a backorder. The second is given by the optimal order quantity, which is the number of units that should be ordered.

Let's focus on the reorder point and how it is determined using classical forecasting methods. The reorder point is the inventory quantity that should trigger a backorder. Intuitively, the reorder point is the quantity of inventory that covers continuing sales while waiting for a backorder to arrive (called lead demand), plus the unpredictability or volatility in demand (called safety stock). Both lead demand and safety stock require a forecast.

The type of forecast that is used today for inventory optimization is the classical 'mean forecast', which is produced by using averages, exponential smoothing, Holt Winters, and other 'classical' forecasting methods. These forecasts are called 'mean forecasts', because the probability of over- and under- forecasting are strictly balanced. In other words, following the recommendation rendered by the forecast will give you equal chances of having a stock out and having too much inventory for actual demand. The implicit service level, which is the probability of not experiencing a stock-out, is 50 percent.

This scenario would not be a problem if the cost of over and under forecasting was equal. However, for retail companies as for many other businesses, this is not the case. Allocating too little resources 50 percent of the time is a poor trade-off that does not reflect the reality of the business. In practice, the marginal cost of a stock-out vastly exceeds the marginal cost of additional inventory. This is why service levels in retail are typically chosen as being above 90 percent, which means that 9 out of 10 orders can be serviced from stock on hand, and in only 1 out of 10 orders will a stock out occur. As a concrete example, food retailers choose their service level typically between 95 and 98 percent, which reflects the much higher cost of a stock out versus additional inventory.

This business-specific asymmetry is the reason that companies purposefully introduce what is called a 'bias' in their resource allocations. This is done by adding safety stock to increase the service level from the 50 percent provided by the mean forecast to the desired level (in our retail example above 90 percent). Mathematically, it means nothing else but producing a quantile forecast via extrapolation, or an 'extrapolated quantile forecast'.

The problem with this methodology is a negative effect on accuracy, which is particularly poor in three cases:
• high service levels
• infrequent sales of an item
• and spiky demand.

Unfortunately, one or several of these cases are the norm for retail, wholesale and manufacturing businesses.

'Native' quantile forecasts represent a radical improvement from classical forecasts in terms of accuracy. Benchmarks against our classical forecasting engine have shown an increase in forecasting accuracy of between 20 percent to over 50 percent for businesses offering car parts, electrical supplies, spare parts, textiles, luxury goods, chemicals, and groceries.

The key idea of quantile forecasting is that the bias is introduced on purpose from the start -in order to alter the odds of over and under forecasting. Instead of producing a mean forecast, or 50 percent quantile, that is then extrapolated to reach the desired service level while suffering a loss in accuracy, the forecasting model directly produces a quantile forecast by taking into account the desired service level. By doing so, it consolidates the several steps involved in calculating a reorder point in the classical way, at the benefit of a higher accuracy. Quantile forecasts are operated and refreshed in a similar way and at the same frequency as mean forecasts.

Quantile forecasts are applicable to all inventory-related forecasting needs. In our opinion, they will make classical forecasting largely obsolete in inventory optimization within the next 10 years.


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Cuprinol Decking Stain Golden Teak

Photos of Cuprinol Decking Stain Golden Teak

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Golden Teak Rustic Oak Colours: Natural Oak Natural Pine Natural Cedar 2008 Decking Stain The fast & easy way to protect & waterproof garden decking. Colours: Cuprinol Decking Seal is a convenient way to protect garden decks against the harmful effects of the weather. ... Get Doc

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Wednesday, February 27, 2013

Ronseal Decking Stain Golden Cedar 2.5l

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Ronseal Decking Stain Advertisement. Ronseal Decking Stain is the ultimate in colour and protection for decking. It colours, protects and waterproofs decking in one. It is ultra tough and long lasting, resists cracking, peeling and blistering.


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FIND US ON - Builders Merchant, Builders Supplies, Home ...
Ronseal Decking Stain 2 .5l £ 19.20 : inc VAT : £16 .00 +VAT each: Country : Oak Mountain : Green Rich Teak: Golden Cedar Rich Mahogany: Rustic Pine: TIMBER MERCHANT TIMBER MERCHANT: 15 YEAR DESIRED : SERVICE LIFE 15 YEAR DESIRED : SERVICE LIFE: WHETHER YOU WANT TO CREATE A ... Return Doc

Golden Maple Decking Stain

Thuja Plicata - Wikipedia, The Free Encyclopedia
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24 _____ 15 Pressure treated decking 5/4"x6"x10' (mold stain) 25 _____ 13 Pressure Treated Decking 5/4"x 6"x 10 Ft. 68 _____ 1 Japanese Maple 69 _____ 1 Pom pom spruce 70 _____ 1 Blue carpet juniper 428 _____ 702 Porcelain Tile 18"x 18" Golden Creme (2.25 sf/box, 52 boxes) ... Get Doc

About Experts Sitemap - Group 37 - Page 32 2012-08-30
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About Experts Sitemap - Group 290 - Page 1 2012-07-19
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"Golden Teak" 2330: Santos Mahogany, Bocote, Cabreuva, Honduran Rosewood: 2200: Pradoo: 2170: Brazilian Koa: Silver Maple: 700: Southern Yellow Pine (Loblolly and Shortleaf) 690: Douglas Fir: 660: Wood stain; Organizations: American Association of Woodturners; ... Read Article

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Golden maple boston teak vermont green american mahogany cedar fall hampshire oak boston teak natural oak hampshire oak cuprinol powerpad decking stain in natural oak w w'care &amp; m'care 2012 aw v2.indd 12 12/01/2012 08:42. decking stain finishes ... Read Content

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The Inside Scoop On 0-VOC Protection
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About Experts Sitemap - Group 7 - Page 72 2012-08-30
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GYMCOAT GREEN TECHNOLOGY
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KITCHENS, FLOORS, DOORS & MORE!
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Tuesday, February 26, 2013

Cuprinol Decking Stain Any Good

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Translucent
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Residential decking and handrailing. Use for low contact residential, commercial and industrial applications remains unrestricted, The PTI wood products are very well adapted for paint and stain applications with no bleed-through. Ironbark is a good choice where available. ... Read Article

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CT695 Cuprinol Ultra Tough Decking Stain
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Translucent - Decorating Supplies, Trade Paint, Paint Brushes ...
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About Experts Sitemap - Group 27 - Page 3 2012-08-30
There are several good cleaning agents available at any of the big box stores Ask an Icynene rep for your area. I find that Cuprinol from Sherwin-Williams works longer than Thompsons for our area Stain is relatively easy, but it must be clean and like new for the stain to evenly absorb ... Read Article

About Experts Sitemap - Group 208 - Page 1 2012-07-20
Rust stain: Hello Stan, Yes a chemical is custom cabinets: For all the good and the badHome Depot will make good on any product they sell. I did a kitchen with American Woodmark from Home Depot. Had to reorder 9 doors that were decking material, composite decking, ...

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CUPRINOL TRADE WOOD PRESERVER LIGHT AND - Woodcare Direct UK ...
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CUPRINOL TRADE LANDSCAPE & DECKING OIL
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A P P E N D I X D
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WOODCARE - Cuprinol
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About Experts Sitemap - Group 37 - Page 32 2012-08-30
Color stain, door casings, wood stain: Good However I am unsure which products are available in your neck of the woods You require a low volume solid opaque stain. In the UK Cuprinol and Sadolins are the Hi Nancy Porch paint is the same as decking paint or stain- extra durable paint ... Read Article


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Cleaning And Sealing Your Deck - Top Producer® Websites ...
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About Experts Sitemap - Group 37 - Page 32 2012-08-30
Safe bet, warm grey, grey stone: Hi Nancy Porch paint is the same as decking paint or stain- extra durable paint for decks. I don t of any companies that make specific porch paints but I m not surprised it exists. ... Read Article

Images of Decking Stain Grey

ONE COAT, THREE YEAR PROTECTION - Jotun Worldwide
Demidekk Decking & Garden Stain is an exterior alkyd, oil based, water-borne and pigmented wood stain. It 9073 Shimmering Grey 9072 Natural Grey 9052 Exotic Wood 9708 Forest 637 New Slate Grey 9707 Grey Rock 9050 Straw 676 Tar Brown 683 Soot Grey ... Return Document

Decking Stain Grey Images

Sheet1 - Resene
Grey Green Limed Ash Limed Gum Limed Oak Limed Spruce Nutmeg Pickled Aspen Pickled Bean Pickled Bluewood Smokey Ash Banjul Cherrywood Crowshead Woodsman Decking Stain* * Use standard Resene Waterborne Woodsman tint formulations for Resene Woodsman Decking Stain colours. ... Access Doc